Use case · Cell line development

Select the right clone
for perfusion

A top-5 pharmaceutical manufacturer used a hybrid model to predict 3 L perfusion performance from Ambr15 fed-batch data, and cut the bioreactor runs needed to choose a clone.

Results at a glance
+20%titer at 3 L perfusion
−40%experiments to a decision
Weekscut from upstream development
01 · Problem

Pharmaceuticals · biologics
Process development, MSAT
Ambr15 fed-batch to 3 L perfusion

Fed-batch rankings don’t hold in perfusion.Finding out takes dozens of runs.

Nutrient dynamics, shear stress, and metabolic steady-state change in continuous culture. The clone that ranks first at 15 mL is often not the best at 3 L. Until now, the only way to know was to run dozens of perfusion experiments.

Fed-Batch Bioreactor (Ambr15)

High-throughput and low cost. Most of the program’s historical data lives here.

Perfusion Bioreactor (3 L)

Continuous culture with media in and permeate out. Different dynamics, and far less data.

02 · Objective

What the team needed to know before booking perfusion capacity.

Can fed-batch data predict titer at perfusion scale?

01

Rank clones before perfusion runs

Use existing fed-batch data to shortlist clones before booking 3 L runs.

02

Quantify what changes between modes

Model oxygen transfer, shear stress, and metabolic steady-state instead of estimating them.

03

Stay within QbD

Every prediction is traceable to its dataset and parameters.

03 · Data foundation

Historian, ELN, and LIMS records in one dataset.

One dataset behind every prediction

Historical Ambr15 fed-batch and 3 L perfusion data from process historians, ELNs, and LIMS was cleaned and merged into one structure for model training. The same pipeline handles new data as it arrives.

Process parameters

pH · DO · temperature · perfusion rate

Cell & metabolites

VCD · glucose · lactate · ammonia

Performance

titer · productivity · CQAs

Cleaned dataset · clone profiles

28 clones on one time axis

One line per clone
28
clones profiled
3 sources
historian, ELN, LIMS
Automated
cleaning, repeatable for new data
04 · Modeling & simulation

Hybrid model. Validated on 3 L perfusion history. Optimized in silico.

Mechanistic where it’s known. Machine-learned where it isn’t.

Mechanistic equations describe the known physics, including oxygen transfer and shear stress across scales. Machine learning captures clone-specific differences in nutrient use and metabolic flexibility.

Using only existing fed-batch data, the model simulated clone performance across feeding and perfusion strategies. AstraZeneca then ran hundreds of virtual experiments to rank clones by predicted perfusion performance.

Model validation · 3 L perfusion

Cumulative permeate titer, model vs. historical

Model
Historical data
Accuracy, permeate titer
>95%
Scale bridged
Ambr15 → 3 L
Virtual experiments
Hundreds
05 · Results

The right clone, chosen before the first 3 L run

The selected clone held high viability, steady-state productivity, and stable metabolites across the full culture.

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45 minutes with a process engineer, using your data.

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+20%
titer at 3 L perfusion
5.8 g/L vs. 4.8 incumbent
−40%
experiments to a decision
12 runs, start to shortlist
Weeks
of upstream development
instead of months of trial batches
06 · The application

Walk the application the team actually ran

The dashboard the team used, from fed-batch fit to clone ranking. Switch to Pipeline to see each step.

Basetwo clone selection dashboard: 250 mL Ambr fed-batch and 3 L perfusion diagrams, the mechanistic-to-hybrid-ML model pipeline, titer fit KPI cards and product formation rate by batch for 14 clones
Full write-up

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FAQ

Common Questions

How much historical data do we need to start?

This program used 12 Ambr15 fed-batch runs. Hybrid models need far less data than purely data-driven ones because the physics is already built in.

Does the model replace confirmation runs at 3 L?

No. It tells you which clones are worth a confirmation run, so fewer 3 L runs are spent on clones that won’t hold up in perfusion.

Which data sources does Basetwo connect to?

In this program, process historian, ELN, and LIMS records were aligned into one dataset. The same approach applies to the systems your team already uses.

How are predictions validated?

Against batches the model has not seen. Here it was fit on 12 fed-batch runs and tested on 3 held-out batches, reaching an R² of 0.94 and 4.1% MAPE on final titer.

Is this usable in a GMP environment?

Every prediction is traceable to the dataset and parameters behind it, so results can be reviewed and documented within a QbD framework. Talk to us about your validation requirements.

From months of trial batches
to answers in an afternoon.

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